Sunday, April 18, 2010

The Ice Next Time

Sometimes the world seems rational. Ice ages are thought to start when the Isthmus of Panama arose 2-4 million years ago either from volcanic action or the lifting of the Caribbean plate by subduction of the Cocos and South American plates. The would-be Isthmus consisted of a chain of volcanoes along a tectonic plate boundary. When they went active or the Panama plate was pushed upward, the Isthmus formed, connecting North and South America and cutting the warmer currents from Pacific to Atlantic.

Core sediments support this timing beautifully. Pre-Isthmus temperatures show a stability higher than our present levels, then slipped below and into the current ice-age oscillations.

The basic point is that this started the ice ages, which now cycle every 100K years, and they will continue until some major geological change alters it.

Further, the temperatures of this interglacial trend toward an end of this interglacial. We're cooling, not warming.

The small, red segment to the right (click the graph to enlarge it) is the "hockey-stick" warming coming out of the Little Ice Age. Not impressive in the larger perspective.

Monday, April 5, 2010

Bad things from global warming


http://www.numberwatch.co.uk/warmlist.htm

756 by last count.

Democracy Isn't Everything

Democracy is not necessarily a good thing. We experience a special form, liberal democracy, but pure democracy the ancient Greeks practiced was not. In Greek city-states, either every citizen voted, or, if too many, legislators were selected by lot as we do jury members today. They, then, had absolute power. They voted to execute Socrates simply because they didn't care for his opinions.

This happens today. In Serbia, after a free and fair election, ethnic cleansing commenced. In the French Revolution, “liberty fraternity equality” degenerated into free access for everyone to “Guillotine! Guillotine! Guillotine.” The Intelligentsia of France saw no need for constitutional impediments of checks and balances. Napoleon ended their Terror and their democracy—but not before it had claimed those who saw no need for limitations.

Hopefully this makes us appreciate our forefathers insight in building the U.S. Constitution, with its checks, balances, and protection of minority rights—especially that smallest of minorities, the individual. The seemingly arcane rules of the Senate are also geared for this. They are not inefficient as most presume, but very effective in protecting the minority, which, if you are not now, you may be as soon as the next election.

Office holders in the United States swear to protect the Constitution. Some mean it. Some know not what it means.

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Another and better try at telling what I mean.

Saturday, April 3, 2010

Unconsidered Consequences

No one has died from civilian nuclear energy in the United States, unless one counts hysteria. In that case, thousands. Of course, it wasn't blamed on hysteria, but they're certainly dead because of it.

The problem did not start with a movie, but The China Syndrome sure set the stage. It opened March 16, 1979, starring Jane Fonda and Jack Lemmon, who both received Oscar nominations for best actor. The plot was cookie-cutter evil corporation operating evil technology for evil profits. Jack Lemmon dies trying to prevent a meltdown, killed by SWAT tricked by management into thinking Lemmon was attempting to destroy the world rather than save it.

Twelve days after the movie release, reactor 2 of Three Mile Island experienced a partial meltdown that released radioactive materials. It appeared the nightmare portrayed in the movie as well as the enflamed vision sold by Greeners for years, had come to pass. In the end, the average radiation dose of those within ten miles was 8 millirems (one chest x-ray) with the maximum exposure being 100 millirems (1/3 average annual natural exposure). Long-term sampling from domestic and wild animals confirms these official estimates.

Hysteria ran a muck, basically halting the expansion of civilian nuclear power in the United States. Of the plants already approved, 51 were canceled and over 300 coal-fired power generating stations have been built since. Although filtering of stack gases has improved since 1979, the estimates at the time were 100 people suffered premature death per coal-fired station per year. Today, coal-fired power plants in the United States shorten 24,000 lives per year.

Nuclear power: zero; coal: 24,000/year times 31 years approaches ¾ of a millions lives since Three Mile Island.

The lessons are simple:

Hysteria kills. Don't buy in. Disdain those who do. Get the facts.

Hollywood kills. Anyone who takes an actor's opinion for anything more important than how many cc's of silicon should go into a breast implant gives them publicity craved at the expense of real people, maybe even you and your family.

Finally, grasp the concept: Greeners kill. To fulfill their more grandiose concepts, they readily sacrifice the well being of you and your family, even unto death, and try to make you feel guilty. They sell hysteria, and hysteria kills.

Friday, April 2, 2010

A "Convenient Truth"

The "convenient truth" about climate change is that it distracts the conversation away from things like PCB and mercury contamination. Those are issues that are way too clear cut to be discussed in a public forum. In 2004 the EPA issued a mercury contamination warning against eating fish from 35% of the lake acres in the United States, 24% of the nation's river miles, 65% of the nation's contiguous coastal waters, including 92% of the Atlantic coast and 100% of the Gulf coast. The warning also included 100% of the Great Lakes and their connecting waterways. The press reaction was...nada. The next year the warning was taken down from the EPA site.

The issue that's most seriously going to influence our health is plain, old pollution. And we can't talk about it now because the nebulous dog-and-pony show of climate change has become the central focus of all environmental discussion.