Energy and History

Much of the worlds conflicts are about energy.

Great Britain became great because of an abundance of coal.

The Japanese attacked the United States in World War II because we cut off our exports of oil and scrap metal, to induce them to get out of China. To replace the oil, they needed to take the Dutch East Indies and Malaya. Their shipping route home was bound by the Philippines, so needed to eliminate that obstruction. To counter the US Plan Orange, to defend the Philippines with our Pearl Harbor fleet, they wiped out or attempted to wipe it out. Had the carriers been at Pearl, they would have succeeded.

Hitler attacked the Soviet Union in no small part to obtain access to Soviet's oil fields. That was the purpose of Hitler's Southern Force, which he egotistically diverted to Stalingrad. Had it not been diverted, he would have had the oil and the Soviets would not have.

China, Japan and the Philippines are now in conflict over some obscure islands in the South China Sea, where the islands of little use to anyone, but the potential offshore oil fields are.

The conflict between Britain and Argentina has now re-intensified over the Falkland Islands because extensive oil fields are being developed offshore from the Falklands.

Europe is not interested in doing much about Russia because they “greened” their way into dependency on Russian oil and gas.

The United States cannot do much because we “greened” ourselves into not being able to supply our own needs in spite of having some of the richest energy sources in the world.

Further, we are now in a greatly weakened economic state, with gross deficits and debts, because we “greened” ourselves into it. We quickly forgot we defeated the Soviets because they could not match us economically. We upped out defense spending from 3% to 6% of GDP, and the Soviets could not match us by upping their 20% to 40%. Today, the Soviets and the Chinese are economically sound and own  trillions of dollars of our debt.

By refusing to really get behind energy production in the last five years, we assured our decline and assured our citizens a deteriorating future. Documentation now coming out shows Bush-Cheney indeed took Iraq to gain control of the oil, but since we let China underbid us and take control, we are left with only the expense in blood and treasure.

China has made a mission out of gaining economic control of as many world resources as possible, even buying coal mines in the United States at bargain prices. The Soviets have taken the Crimea for the energy resources offshore. The United States hit the snooze button for a second four years.

Changes in Diplomacy

While we're playing putt-putt in Ukraine, the Saudis have taken over the lead activist role in theMiddle East. They, with the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain and Egypt withdrew their ambassadors from Qatar, because of Qatar's support and protection of those Muslim Brotherhood wanted in Egypt.

Morsi and the Muslim Brotherhood won the elections in Egypt, then rewrote the constitution to allow, if not encourage, killing of others, especially Coptic Christians. When the Egyptian Army stepped in to depose Morsi and the Brotherhood, we cut off our $1.5 billion to the Egyptian Army because they had overthrown an elected leadership, but the Saudis made it up with $12-billion financing the Egyptian Army's quest to eradicate the Brotherhood.

We opposed this, but support the overthrow in Ukraine because the overthrown faction were made up of bad characters? Amusing that the Russians withdrew their offer of $15-billion in financing and we are making it up with $1-billion.

The Saudis are also opposing the Brotherhood factions in Turkey and other countries, as well as the Syrian and Iranian pushes in the Middle East. The Brotherhood faction in Turkey is now trying to do away with Twitter and Facebook in Turkey, probably because of their impact in Syria.

Syria removed all journalists from a town near the border of Jordan, then rampaged through the populous deposing any and all thought to be enemies of the regime. With cell phones, video of the atrocities was immediately posted to Twitter, Facebook, and youTube, and the Syrian civil war was on.

Russia and Iran backed Assad; the Saudis backed the opposition; and the US chose to sit it out—at least until someone (just who is still in question) used poison gas. The the US was wringing its hands about how to strike Assad without tipping the balance to the opposition, when Russia proposed a solution that took the US off the hook. Assad agreed to dismantle the manufacturing and surrender the poison gas to the US for disposal. It was about 5% complete when it stalled, and now Russia pressuring Assad to complete the deal is in doubt.

In the disagreement in Ukraine some US diplomat made the statement that Ukraine would have to choose between Europe and Russia. Why couldn't it be a cooperative effort between Europe and Russia? But, no, the US had to get its two-cents in instead of working an agreement not unlike that engineered by Putin in Syria. Game on.

Putin was the head of the KGB, perhaps the most Darwinian organization in the world, if not history. US diplomacy seems to be the Amateur Hour with outbreaks of the Gong Show.

Hillary's “Reset” button to the Russian Ambassador, for example, instead of translating “Reset” into Russian, said “Overcharge.” The Russian Ambassador speaks impeccable English; the State Department seems to get their translators from South Africa.

The “Reset” let the Russians off the hook for their invasion of Georgia without any requirement for action on their part—thus the Russians are still in Georgia. Georgia will not be considered favorably for admission to the EU, much less NATO, because of the disputed territory. It would appear we have an instant replay in Crimea and the Ukraine.

Amateur Hour going on the Gong Show. We have a better idea of Putin's master strategy than we have of Obama's.