Thursday, March 13, 2014

Energy and History

Much of the worlds conflicts are about energy.

Great Britain became great because of an abundance of coal.

The Japanese attacked the United States in World War II because we cut off our exports of oil and scrap metal, to induce them to get out of China. To replace the oil, they needed to take the Dutch East Indies and Malaya. Their shipping route home was bound by the Philippines, so needed to eliminate that obstruction. To counter the US Plan Orange, to defend the Philippines with our Pearl Harbor fleet, they wiped out or attempted to wipe it out. Had the carriers been at Pearl, they would have succeeded.

Hitler attacked the Soviet Union in no small part to obtain access to Soviet's oil fields. That was the purpose of Hitler's Southern Force, which he egotistically diverted to Stalingrad. Had it not been diverted, he would have had the oil and the Soviets would not have.

China, Japan and the Philippines are now in conflict over some obscure islands in the South China Sea, where the islands of little use to anyone, but the potential offshore oil fields are.

The conflict between Britain and Argentina has now re-intensified over the Falkland Islands because extensive oil fields are being developed offshore from the Falklands.

Europe is not interested in doing much about Russia because they “greened” their way into dependency on Russian oil and gas.

The United States cannot do much because we “greened” ourselves into not being able to supply our own needs in spite of having some of the richest energy sources in the world.

Further, we are now in a greatly weakened economic state, with gross deficits and debts, because we “greened” ourselves into it. We quickly forgot we defeated the Soviets because they could not match us economically. We upped out defense spending from 3% to 6% of GDP, and the Soviets could not match us by upping their 20% to 40%. Today, the Soviets and the Chinese are economically sound and own  trillions of dollars of our debt.

By refusing to really get behind energy production in the last five years, we assured our decline and assured our citizens a deteriorating future. Documentation now coming out shows Bush-Cheney indeed took Iraq to gain control of the oil, but since we let China underbid us and take control, we are left with only the expense in blood and treasure.

China has made a mission out of gaining economic control of as many world resources as possible, even buying coal mines in the United States at bargain prices. The Soviets have taken the Crimea for the energy resources offshore. The United States hit the snooze button for a second four years.